Chengdu Rongcheng
Super League · 2026Chengdu Rongcheng 1–1 Wuhan Three Towns · Super League
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Chengdu Rongcheng and Wuhan Three Towns drew 1–1.
- Shots
- 24–12
- Shots on target
- 9–6
- Expected goals
- 3.04–1.55
- Possession
- 60%–40%
Full time
What the match recorded
Chengdu Rongcheng and Wuhan Three Towns drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Chengdu Rongcheng – Wuhan Three Towns): shots 24–12, shots on target 9–6, expected goals 3.04–1.55, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Chengdu Rongcheng's recent record differs from the season
moderateChengdu Rongcheng's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.2 goals/match | 2 goals/match | 1.46 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
Chengdu Rongcheng show a distinct attacking-volume record
moderateChengdu Rongcheng's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Chengdu Rongcheng | Wuhan Three Towns | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 15.3 shots/match | 12.2 shots/match | 12.3 shots/match |
| Shots against | 10.8 shots/match | 14 shots/match | 13.2 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
The teams have contrasting possession records
moderateChengdu Rongcheng have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.4 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Chengdu Rongcheng | Wuhan Three Towns | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 56.6% | 45.2% | 49.1% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
This match
Match statistics
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Chengdu Rongcheng favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Wuhan Three Towns in 0 · 1 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
Chengdu Rongcheng / Wuhan Three Towns
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
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