Super League · 2026Olympic Sports Center Stadium

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 3–2 Yunnan Yukun · Super League

3–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 3–2.

Shots
2010
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
2.620.77
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger beat Yunnan Yukun 3–2. Recorded in this match (Tianjin Jinmen Tiger – Yunnan Yukun): shots 20–10, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 2.62–0.77, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.45 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.45 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Yunnan Yukun show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Yunnan Yukun's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsTianjin Jinmen Tiger · Yunnan Yukun15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTianjin Jinmen TigerYunnan YukunBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match15 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against13.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots10 shotsTianjin Jinmen Tiger 20 shots, Yunnan Yukun 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsTianjin Jinmen Tiger 5 shots, Yunnan Yukun 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.62 xG0.77 xGTianjin Jinmen Tiger 2.62 xG, Yunnan Yukun 0.77 xG
  • Possession51%49%Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 51%, Yunnan Yukun 49%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersTianjin Jinmen Tiger 3 corners, Yunnan Yukun 5 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls9 foulsTianjin Jinmen Tiger 8 fouls, Yunnan Yukun 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
0Draws
2Yunnan Yukun
Yunnan Yukun — Tianjin Jinmen Tiger · Super League0–3
Yunnan Yukun — Tianjin Jinmen Tiger · Super League2–0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger — Yunnan Yukun · Super League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Yunnan Yukun in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger20 matchesYunnan Yukun21 matches
1.45 goals/matchGoals scored20/21▲ 2 goals/match
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/211.95 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals16/15▲ 1.35 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots20/21▲ 15 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target20/21▲ 5.14 shots/match
44.1%Possession20/21● 50.7%
4.25 corners/matchCorners20/21● 4.95 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards4/33 cards/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls20/2112 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples20 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

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