PitchMath
Super League · 2026Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park

Chengdu Rongcheng 1–1 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC · Super League

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Chengdu Rongcheng and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC drew 1–1.

Shots
138
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
2.190.64
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chengdu Rongcheng and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Chengdu Rongcheng – Chongqing Tonglianglong FC): shots 13–8, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 2.19–0.64, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Chengdu Rongcheng's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chengdu Rongcheng's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match2.11 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsChengdu Rongcheng · Chongqing Tonglianglong FC8.06 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricChengdu RongchengChongqing Tonglianglong FCBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match8.06 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against10.9 shots/match11.4 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC have a visible away split

moderate

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6.44 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season8.06 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots6.44 shots/match8.06 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots8 shotsChengdu Rongcheng 13 shots, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsChengdu Rongcheng 4 shots, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.19 xG0.64 xGChengdu Rongcheng 2.19 xG, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 0.64 xG
  • Possession67%33%Chengdu Rongcheng 67%, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 33%
  • Corners15 corners1 cornerChengdu Rongcheng 15 corners, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1 corner
  • Fouls14 fouls9 foulsChengdu Rongcheng 14 fouls, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Chengdu Rongcheng
1Draws
0Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC — Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League3–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chengdu Rongcheng favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Chongqing Tonglianglong FC in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chengdu Rongcheng18 matchesChongqing Tonglianglong FC18 matches
2.11 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/181.22 goals/match
0.94 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.11 goals/match
2.17 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/130.82 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots18/188.06 shots/match
5.28 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/183.33 shots/match
56.4% ●Possession18/1846.8%
7.06 corners/match ●Corners18/183.72 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls18/1812.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsChengdu RongchengChongqing Tonglianglong FC
CompetitionSuper League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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