Super League · 2026Longxing Football Stadium

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 2–3 Beijing Guoan · Super League

2–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Beijing Guoan won 2–3.

Shots
823
Shots on target
412
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Beijing Guoan beat Chongqing Tongliang Long 3–2. Recorded in this match (Chongqing Tongliang Long – Beijing Guoan): shots 8–23, shots on target 4–12, possession 43%–57%, corners 4–8. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Beijing Guoan's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Beijing Guoan's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.73 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Chongqing Tongliang Long show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Chongqing Tongliang Long's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.27 shots/match ▲ShotsChongqing Tongliang Long · Beijing Guoan14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricChongqing Tongliang LongBeijing GuoanBaseline
Shots8.27 shots/match14.5 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against10.5 shots/match9.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Chongqing Tongliang Long have a visible home split

moderate

Chongqing Tongliang Long's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season8.27 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match8.27 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots23 shotsChongqing Tonglianglong FC 8 shots, Beijing Guoan 23 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots12 shotsChongqing Tonglianglong FC 4 shots, Beijing Guoan 12 shots
  • Possession43%57%Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 43%, Beijing Guoan 57%
  • Corners4 corners8 cornersChongqing Tonglianglong FC 4 corners, Beijing Guoan 8 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls9 foulsChongqing Tonglianglong FC 17 fouls, Beijing Guoan 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardChongqing Tonglianglong FC 3 cards, Beijing Guoan 1 card
  • Passes298 passes402 passesChongqing Tonglianglong FC 298 passes, Beijing Guoan 402 passes
  • Pass accuracy64%74%Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 64%, Beijing Guoan 74%
  • Shots inside box3 shots20 shotsChongqing Tonglianglong FC 3 shots, Beijing Guoan 20 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block4 blocksChongqing Tonglianglong FC 1 block, Beijing Guoan 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves7 saves2 savesChongqing Tonglianglong FC 7 saves, Beijing Guoan 2 saves
  • Offsides1 offside3 offsidesChongqing Tonglianglong FC 1 offside, Beijing Guoan 3 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Beijing Guoan in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC15 matchesBeijing Guoan15 matches
1.27 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 1.73 goals/match
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/151.53 goals/match
0.86 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲ 1.5 xG/match
8.27 shots/matchShots15/15▲ 14.5 shots/match
3.47 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 5.27 shots/match
48.3%Possession15/15● 61.3%
4.13 corners/matchCorners15/15● 6.6 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls15/1512.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 May 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

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