Beijing Guoan
Super League · 2026Beijing Guoan 2–4 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger · Super League
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 2–4.
- Shots
- 21–10
- Shots on target
- 6–8
- Expected goals
- 1.94–1.13
- Possession
- 76%–24%
Full time
What the match recorded
Tianjin Teda beat Beijing Guoan 4–2. Recorded in this match (Beijing Guoan – Tianjin Teda): shots 21–10, shots on target 6–8, expected goals 1.94–1.13, possession 76%–24%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Tianjin Teda's recent record differs from the season
moderateTianjin Teda's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.2 goals/match | 1.38 goals/match | 1.4 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
Recent scheduling adds useful context
weakA compressed recent schedule is recorded for Beijing Guoan, Tianjin Teda.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.
Window: previous 14 days
| Metric | Beijing Guoan | Tianjin Teda | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest days | 4.02 days | 3.98 days | — |
| Matches last 14 days | 3 matches | 3 matches | — |
Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.
Tianjin Teda show a distinct attacking-volume record
moderateTianjin Teda's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Beijing Guoan | Tianjin Teda | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 12.4 shots/match | 8.75 shots/match | 12.3 shots/match |
| Shots against | 10.8 shots/match | 15.4 shots/match | 13 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
This match
Match statistics
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Beijing Guoan favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Tianjin Jinmen Tiger in 2 · 1 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 3 matches
Beijing Guoan / Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
More football
Related matches
Shenzhen Peng City
Shandong Taishan
Shanghai Port
Wuhan Three Towns
Chengdu Rongcheng
ZhejiangTeam rankings in Super League
Make a graphic from this match
Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.