PitchMath
Serie B · 2026Estádio Santa Cruz

Botafogo-SP 4–0 Fortaleza · Serie B

4–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Botafogo-SP won 4–0.

Expected goals
2.60.34

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo SP beat Fortaleza EC 4–0. Recorded in this match (Botafogo SP – Fortaleza EC): expected goals 2.6–0.34. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Expected goals2.6 xG0.34 xGBotafogo-SP 2.6 xG, Fortaleza 0.34 xG

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Botafogo-SP1 matches
  • Fortaleza1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

These two clubs played in different competitions last season, so the values are shown side by side without ranking them against each other.

Botafogo-SP

Competition
Serie B
Season
2025
Sample
38 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
23 November 2025
  • Goals scored0.84 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.37 goals/match
  • Shots11.2 shots/match
  • Shots allowed14.3 shots/match
  • Shots on target3.65 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed3.97 shots/match
  • Possession47.1%
  • Corners4.7 corners/match
  • Corners allowed5.14 corners/match
  • Cards2.38 cards/match
  • Fouls12.6 fouls/match
  • Passes369.7 passes/match
  • Pass accuracy78.5%
  • Shots inside box5.86 shots/match
  • Blocked shots2.46 blocks/match
  • Goalkeeper saves2.73 saves/match
  • Offsides1.24 offsides/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency26%
  • Scoring frequency55%

Fortaleza

Competition
Serie A
Season
2025
Sample
38 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
7 December 2025
  • Goals scored1.13 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.53 goals/match
  • Shots12.9 shots/match
  • Shots allowed13.9 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.26 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed5.16 shots/match
  • Possession44.2%
  • Corners5.61 corners/match
  • Corners allowed5.11 corners/match
  • Cards3.03 cards/match
  • Fouls14.2 fouls/match
  • Passes354.4 passes/match
  • Pass accuracy79.2%
  • Shots inside box7.63 shots/match
  • Blocked shots3.89 blocks/match
  • Goalkeeper saves3.63 saves/match
  • Offsides1.95 offsides/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency26%
  • Scoring frequency68%

How competition percentiles work

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 02:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBotafogo-SPFortaleza
CompetitionSerie B
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this