Serie B · 2026Aflitos

Náutico 0–1 Criciúma · Serie B

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Criciúma won 0–1.

Expected goals
0.771.11

Full time

What the match recorded

Criciuma beat Nautico Recife 1–0. Recorded in this match (Nautico Recife – Criciuma): expected goals 0.77–1.11. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Expected goals0.77 xG1.11 xGNáutico 0.77 xG, Criciúma 1.11 xG

Limited historical context

PitchMath holds only part of the history for this match.

Current-season evidence is below the threshold and the previous-season record is incomplete, so only what is actually stored is shown.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Náutico1 matches
  • Criciúma1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Náutico

No trustworthy previous-season profile is stored for this club.

Criciúma

Competition
Serie B
Season
2025
Sample
38 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
23 November 2025
  • Goals scored1.24 goals/match
  • Goals allowed0.87 goals/match
  • Shots13.4 shots/match
  • Shots allowed13.6 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.03 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed3.61 shots/match
  • Possession49.2%
  • Corners5.08 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.37 corners/match
  • Cards2.92 cards/match
  • Fouls14.5 fouls/match
  • Passes356.9 passes/match
  • Pass accuracy76.6%
  • Shots inside box7.08 shots/match
  • Blocked shots3.42 blocks/match
  • Goalkeeper saves2.76 saves/match
  • Offsides1.63 offsides/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency42%
  • Scoring frequency82%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4