PitchMath
K League 1 · 2026

Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers · K League 1

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.250.9
Expected goals
1.641.36
Shots
11.711.1
Possession
53.1%51.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: incheon United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Incheon United's recent record differs from the season

weak

Incheon United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.25 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Pohang Steelers show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Pohang Steelers's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsIncheon United · Pohang Steelers11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricIncheon UnitedPohang SteelersBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against9.62 shots/match10.5 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Incheon United favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Pohang Steelers in 1 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Incheon United28 matchesPohang Steelers29 matches
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/290.9 goals/match
1.14 goals/matchGoals allowed28/291.14 goals/match
1.64 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/151.36 xG/match
11.7 shots/match ▲Shots21/2211.1 shots/match
4.14 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/223.18 shots/match
53.1% ●Possession21/2251.1%
4.52 corners/match ●Corners21/224.32 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls21/219.57 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Incheon United
2Draws
3Pohang Steelers
Incheon United — Pohang Steelers · K League 10–1
Pohang Steelers — Incheon United · K League 11–1
Pohang Steelers — Incheon United · K League 11–0
Incheon United — Pohang Steelers · K League 11–3
Pohang Steelers — Incheon United · K League 10–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness27 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 9 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIncheon UnitedPohang Steelers
CompetitionK League 1
Head-to-headIncheon United — Pohang Steelers
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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