PitchMath
K League 1 · 2026

Ulsan HD 2–3 Gangwon FC · K League 1

2–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Gangwon FC won 2–3.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: ulsan Hyundai FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Ulsan Hyundai FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ulsan Hyundai FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.61 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.61 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Ulsan HD
2Draws
2Gangwon FC
Gangwon FC — Ulsan HD · K League 12–0
Ulsan HD — Gangwon FC · K League 13–1
Gangwon FC — Ulsan HD · K League 12–2
Gangwon FC — Ulsan HD · K League 11–1
Ulsan HD — Gangwon FC · K League 11–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ulsan HD favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Gangwon FC in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ulsan HD23 matchesGangwon FC22 matches
1.61 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/221.27 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed23/22▲ 0.86 goals/match
1.76 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/151.47 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots22/2113.8 shots/match
5.09 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/214.43 shots/match
46.3%Possession22/21● 52.4%
4.36 corners/matchCorners22/21● 5.9 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls21/2114.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples23 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUlsan HDGangwon FC
CompetitionK League 1
Head-to-headUlsan HD — Gangwon FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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