PitchMath
K League 1 · 2026

Incheon United 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC · K League 1

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Incheon United and Gimcheon Sangmu FC drew 1–1.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: incheon United's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Incheon United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Incheon United's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Incheon United
2Draws
1Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Gimcheon Sangmu FC — Incheon United · K League 10–3
Incheon United — Gimcheon Sangmu FC · K League 12–1
Gimcheon Sangmu FC — Incheon United · K League 12–0
Incheon United — Gimcheon Sangmu FC · K League 11–1
Gimcheon Sangmu FC — Incheon United · K League 12–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Incheon United favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Gimcheon Sangmu FC in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Incheon United22 matchesGimcheon Sangmu FC23 matches
1.32 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/231 goal/match
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/231.26 goals/match
1.64 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/171.31 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots21/2212.3 shots/match
4.14 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/223.68 shots/match
53.1%Possession21/22● 56%
4.52 corners/matchCorners21/22● 4.77 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls21/2212.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples22 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIncheon UnitedGimcheon Sangmu FC
CompetitionK League 1
Head-to-headIncheon United — Gimcheon Sangmu FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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