K League 1 · 2026Sungui Arena Park

Incheon United 0–1 FC Anyang · K League 1

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

FC Anyang won 0–1.

Shots
228
Shots on target
85
Expected goals
2.30.68
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Anyang beat Incheon United 1–0. Recorded in this match (Incheon United – FC Anyang): shots 22–8, shots on target 8–5, expected goals 2.3–0.68, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Anyang's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC Anyang's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Anyang show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Anyang's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsIncheon United · FC Anyang9.41 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricIncheon UnitedFC AnyangBaseline
Shots11 shots/match9.41 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against9.41 shots/match14.4 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Incheon United have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.9% ●PossessionIncheon United · FC Anyang43.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricIncheon UnitedFC AnyangBaseline
Possession52.9%43.4%50.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots8 shotsIncheon United 22 shots, FC Anyang 8 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots5 shotsIncheon United 8 shots, FC Anyang 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.3 xG0.68 xGIncheon United 2.3 xG, FC Anyang 0.68 xG
  • Possession64%36%Incheon United 64%, FC Anyang 36%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersIncheon United 5 corners, FC Anyang 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls14 foulsIncheon United 9 fouls, FC Anyang 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Incheon United
0Draws
0FC Anyang
FC Anyang — Incheon United · K League 10–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Incheon United favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · FC Anyang in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Incheon United17 matchesFC Anyang17 matches
1.24 goals/matchGoals scored17/171.29 goals/match
1.12 goals/matchGoals allowed17/171.12 goals/match
1.63 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/80.95 xG/match
11 shots/match ▲Shots17/179.41 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target17/173.71 shots/match
52.9% ●Possession17/1743.4%
4.59 corners/match ●Corners17/173.12 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls17/1612.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Jul 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

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