PitchMath
K League 1 · 2026Jeju World Cup Stadium

Jeju SK 1–0 Bucheon FC 1995 · K League 1

Jeju SK

DLLLD
1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Jeju SK won 1–0.

Shots
104
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
1.080.08
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Jeju United FC beat Bucheon FC 1995 1–0. Recorded in this match (Jeju United FC – Bucheon FC 1995): shots 10–4, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 1.08–0.08, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bucheon FC 1995's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bucheon FC 1995's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.83 goals/match1 goal/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Jeju United FC have a visible home split

weak

Jeju United FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

10.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match9 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots4 shotsJeju SK 10 shots, Bucheon FC 1995 4 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotJeju SK 5 shots, Bucheon FC 1995 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.08 xG0.08 xGJeju SK 1.08 xG, Bucheon FC 1995 0.08 xG
  • Possession45%55%Jeju SK 45%, Bucheon FC 1995 55%
  • Corners1 corner7 cornersJeju SK 1 corner, Bucheon FC 1995 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsJeju SK 12 fouls, Bucheon FC 1995 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Jeju SK
0Draws
1Bucheon FC 1995
Bucheon FC 1995 — Jeju SK · Korean FA Cup1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Jeju SK favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Bucheon FC 1995 in 4 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Jeju SK6 matchesBucheon FC 19956 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 0.83 goals/match
1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1 goal/match
0.86 xG/matchExpected goals3/5▲ 0.92 xG/match
9 shots/matchShots6/69 shots/match
3.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/62.5 shots/match
39.5%Possession6/6● 43%
2.83 corners/matchCorners6/6● 3.83 corners/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls6/611.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 09:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJeju SKBucheon FC 1995
CompetitionK League 1
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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