PitchMath
K League 1 · 2026Sungui Arena Park

Incheon United 1–3 Daejeon Hana Citizen · K League 1

1–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Daejeon Hana Citizen won 1–3.

Shots
119
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
1.470.69
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Daejeon Citizen beat Incheon United 3–1. Recorded in this match (Incheon United – Daejeon Citizen): shots 11–9, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 1.47–0.69, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Incheon United.

3.12 days ▲Rest daysIncheon United · Daejeon Citizen4.12 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricIncheon UnitedDaejeon CitizenBaseline
Rest days3.12 days4.12 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots9 shotsIncheon United 11 shots, Daejeon Hana Citizen 9 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsIncheon United 6 shots, Daejeon Hana Citizen 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.47 xG0.69 xGIncheon United 1.47 xG, Daejeon Hana Citizen 0.69 xG
  • Possession49%51%Incheon United 49%, Daejeon Hana Citizen 51%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersIncheon United 7 corners, Daejeon Hana Citizen 2 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls16 foulsIncheon United 8 fouls, Daejeon Hana Citizen 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Incheon United
0Draws
2Daejeon Hana Citizen
Incheon United — Daejeon Hana Citizen · K League 11–2
Daejeon Hana Citizen — Incheon United · K League 12–1
Daejeon Hana Citizen — Incheon United · K League 10–1
Incheon United — Daejeon Hana Citizen · K League 12–0
Incheon United — Daejeon Hana Citizen · K League 12–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Incheon United favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Daejeon Hana Citizen in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Incheon United4 matchesDaejeon Hana Citizen4 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 1.5 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 1 goal/match
1.78 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.39 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 13.3 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/44.25 shots/match
53.5%Possession4/4● 59%
4.75 corners/matchCorners4/44.75 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls4/411.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 18 Mar 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIncheon UnitedDaejeon Hana Citizen
CompetitionK League 1
Head-to-headIncheon United — Daejeon Hana Citizen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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