K League 1 · 2026Pohang Steel Yard

Pohang Steelers 1–1 Incheon United · K League 1

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Pohang Steelers and Incheon United drew 1–1.

Shots
810
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.661.81
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Pohang Steelers and Incheon United drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Pohang Steelers – Incheon United): shots 8–10, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.66–1.81, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Incheon United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Incheon United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPohang SteelersIncheon UnitedBaseline
Shots—12.7 shots/match9.83 shots/match
Shots against—8.67 shots/match10.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots10 shotsPohang Steelers 8 shots, Incheon United 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsPohang Steelers 4 shots, Incheon United 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.66 xG1.81 xGPohang Steelers 0.66 xG, Incheon United 1.81 xG
  • Possession53%47%Pohang Steelers 53%, Incheon United 47%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersPohang Steelers 3 corners, Incheon United 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls9 foulsPohang Steelers 14 fouls, Incheon United 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Pohang Steelers
2Draws
0Incheon United
Pohang Steelers — Incheon United · K League 11–0
Incheon United — Pohang Steelers · K League 11–3
Pohang Steelers — Incheon United · K League 10–0
Pohang Steelers — Incheon United · K League 11–1
Incheon United — Pohang Steelers · K League 10–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 match

Pohang Steelers / Incheon United

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 11:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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