Eliteserien · 2026Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis
vsPre-match analysis

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Rosenborg BK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Tromsø IL's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Rosenborg BK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rosenborg BK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.21 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Tromsø IL have a visible away split

moderate

Tromsø IL's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.5 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match13.9 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Rosenborg BK show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Rosenborg BK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/matchShotsRosenborg BK · Tromsø IL13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRosenborg BKTromsø ILBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match13.9 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against14.1 shots/match10.3 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Rosenborg BK
0Draws
1Tromsø IL
TromsoRosenborg · Eliteserien20

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Rosenborg BK favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Tromsø IL in 11 · 2 too close

1.21 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/151.73 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/151 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 14/151.68 xG/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 14/151.07 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/1513.9 shots/match
14.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/1510.3 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/155.4 shots/match
4.86 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/153.13 shots/match
51.9%Possessionseason · 14/1549.9%
5.57 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/155.6 corners/match
6.14 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/154 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/1
12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1511.5 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
36%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/1553%
57%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1573%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Rosenborg BK71.9
Tromsø IL46.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Rosenborg BK31.2
Tromsø IL78.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Rosenborg BK44.8
Tromsø IL87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Rosenborg BK15.6
Tromsø IL65.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Rosenborg BK59.4
Tromsø IL46.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Rosenborg BK59.4
Tromsø IL65.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Rosenborg BK43
Tromsø IL67.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Rosenborg BK14 matchesTromsø IL15 matches
1.21 goals/matchGoals scored14/151.73 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed14/151 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals14/151.68 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots14/1513.9 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target14/155.4 shots/match
51.9%Possession14/1549.9%
5.57 corners/matchCorners14/155.6 corners/match
Cards0/1
12 fouls/matchFouls14/1511.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Rosenborg BK7 matchesTromsø IL6 matches
1.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/61.33 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/61.33 goals/match
1.47 xG/matchExpected goals7/61.15 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots7/611.5 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target7/64.5 shots/match
55%Possession7/648.2%
7 corners/matchCorners7/64.17 corners/match
Cards0/1
10.7 fouls/matchFouls7/611.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

34.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/156.2 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples14 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness56 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Rosenborg BK vs Tromsø IL — preview & form | PitchMath