PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026

Rosenborg BK 5–3 Tromsø IL · Eliteserien

5–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Rosenborg BK won 5–3.

Shots
2015
Shots on target
109
Expected goals
1.782.12
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rosenborg BK beat Tromsø IL 5–3. Recorded in this match (Rosenborg BK – Tromsø IL): shots 20–15, shots on target 10–9, expected goals 1.78–2.12, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rosenborg BK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rosenborg BK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.8 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3 goals/match1.8 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Tromsø IL have a visible away split

moderate

Tromsø IL's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots15 shotsRosenborg BK 20 shots, Tromsø IL 15 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots9 shotsRosenborg BK 10 shots, Tromsø IL 9 shots
  • Expected goals1.78 xG2.12 xGRosenborg BK 1.78 xG, Tromsø IL 2.12 xG
  • Possession54%46%Rosenborg BK 54%, Tromsø IL 46%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersRosenborg BK 4 corners, Tromsø IL 4 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls12 foulsRosenborg BK 19 fouls, Tromsø IL 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsRosenborg BK 2 cards, Tromsø IL 3 cards
  • Passes492 passes417 passesRosenborg BK 492 passes, Tromsø IL 417 passes
  • Pass accuracy76.4%69.1%Rosenborg BK 76.4%, Tromsø IL 69.1%
  • Shots inside box14 shots12 shotsRosenborg BK 14 shots, Tromsø IL 12 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks3 blocksRosenborg BK 4 blocks, Tromsø IL 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves5 savesRosenborg BK 6 saves, Tromsø IL 5 saves

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 3′Ole SelnaesGoal · Rosenborg BK
  2. 5′Amin ChiakhaGoal · Rosenborg BK
  3. 34′Noah SahsahGoal · Rosenborg BK
  4. 42′Vegard ErlienYellow card · Tromsø IL
  5. 43′Aslak WitryGoal · Rosenborg BK
  6. Half-time
  7. 47′Noah SahsahGoal · Rosenborg BK
  8. 49′David EdvardssonYellow card · Tromsø IL
  9. 71′Troy NyhammerGoal · Tromsø IL
  10. 73′Leopold WahlstedtYellow card · Rosenborg BK
  11. 75′Heine Asen LarsenPenalty goal · Tromsø IL
  12. 77′Ole SelnaesGoal · Rosenborg BK
  13. 86′Maciej SoboczynskiYellow card · Rosenborg BK
  14. 90′Vince OsujiYellow card · Tromsø IL
  15. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Tromsø IL · 1 player changeIsak Dahlqvist
  • 60′Tromsø IL · 2 player changesJesper Andreas Grundt · Lars Olden Larsen
  • 66′Rosenborg BK · 1 player changeMathias Kjølø
  • 70′Tromsø IL · 1 player changeTroy Nyhammer
  • 75′Rosenborg BK · 3 player changesMaciej Soboczynski · Dávid Ďuriš · Jonas Mortensen
  • 81′Rosenborg BK · 1 player changeTobias Solheim Dahl
  • 88′Tromsø IL · 1 player changeVince Osuji

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Rosenborg BK
  1. Leopold WahlstedtG
  2. Mikkel Konradsen CeideD
  3. Aslak WitryD
  4. Adrian Nilsen PereiraD
  5. Tomáš NemčíkD
  6. Simen NordliM
  7. Ole SelnaesM
  8. Noah SahsahM
  9. Mads BomholtM
  10. Amin ChiakhaF
  11. Emil Konradsen CeideF
Tromsø IL
  1. Jakob HaugaardG
  2. Leon HienD
  3. Alexander WarnerydD
  4. Isak VadebuD
  5. Musa JattaD
  6. Sander InnværD
  7. David EdvardssonM
  8. Ruben JenssenM
  9. Morten BjørloM
  10. Vegard ErlienF
  11. Heine Asen LarsenF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Rosenborg BK
0Draws
3Tromsø IL
Tromsø IL — Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien2–0
Tromsø IL — Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien1–0
Rosenborg BK — Tromsø IL · Eliteserien4–1
Rosenborg BK — Tromsø IL · Eliteserien1–0
Tromsø IL — Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rosenborg BK favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Tromsø IL in 8 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rosenborg BK20 matchesTromsø IL20 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored20/201.85 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 1.35 goals/match
1.49 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲ 1.58 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots20/2013.3 shots/match
5.1 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲ 5.45 shots/match
52.6% ●Possession20/2049.8%
6.05 corners/match ●Corners20/205.3 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls20/2012.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRosenborg BKTromsø IL
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headRosenborg BK — Tromsø IL
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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