Eliteserien · 2026Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Lillestrøm SK

LWWLL

vsPre-match analysis

Vålerenga IF

LWLWL

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Vålerenga IF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Vålerenga IF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vålerenga IF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.43 goals/match	1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Lillestrøm SK

0Draws

0Vålerenga IF

19 Apr 2026Valerenga — Lillestrom · Eliteserien0–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Lillestrøm SK favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Vålerenga IF in 2 · 5 too close

1.47 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 15/141.43 goals/match

1.07 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 15/141.71 goals/match

1.47 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 15/141.42 xG/match

1.17 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 15/141.65 xG/match

12.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 15/14▲15.8 shots/match

12.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 15/1414.6 shots/match

4.13 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 15/14▲5.07 shots/match

4.47 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 15/145 shots/match

52.5%●Possessionseason · 15/1449.9%

5.27 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/14●7.21 corners/match

5.2 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 15/145.5 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/1—

10.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1411.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/1414%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1464%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lillestrøm SK78.1

Vålerenga IF53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lillestrøm SK51.1

Vålerenga IF73.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lillestrøm SK63.5

Vålerenga IF18.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lillestrøm SK40.6

Vålerenga IF90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lillestrøm SK15.6

Vålerenga IF28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 53%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lillestrøm SK46.9

Vålerenga IF90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lillestrøm SK39.1

Vålerenga IF71.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Lillestrøm SK15 matchesVålerenga IF14 matches

1.47 goals/matchGoals scored15/141.43 goals/match

1.07 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/141.71 goals/match

1.47 xG/matchExpected goals15/141.42 xG/match

12.4 shots/matchShots15/14▲15.8 shots/match

4.13 shots/matchShots on target15/14▲5.07 shots/match

52.5%●Possession15/1449.9%

5.27 corners/matchCorners15/14●7.21 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

10.8 fouls/matchFouls15/1411.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Lillestrøm SK8 matchesVålerenga IF6 matches

1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored8/60.67 goals/match

1.38 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/62.17 goals/match

1.52 xG/match▲Expected goals8/61.21 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots8/6▲14.5 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target8/6▲4.33 shots/match

55.1%●Possession8/654.2%

5.13 corners/matchCorners8/6●5.5 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls8/612 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

34.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/135.1 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples15 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4