PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026

Molde FK 2–0 KFUM Oslo · Eliteserien

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Molde FK won 2–0.

Shots
245
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
1.810.18
Possession
72%28%

Full time

What the match recorded

Molde FK beat KFUM Oslo 2–0. Recorded in this match (Molde FK – KFUM Oslo): shots 24–5, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 1.81–0.18, possession 72%–28%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Molde FK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Molde FK's last-five shots average is above their season average.

20 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots20 shots/match14.6 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

KFUM Oslo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

KFUM Oslo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsMolde FK · KFUM Oslo10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMolde FKKFUM OsloBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match10.5 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against11.7 shots/match13.9 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Molde FK have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.4% ●PossessionMolde FK · KFUM Oslo44.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMolde FKKFUM OsloBaseline
Possession59.4%44.5%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots5 shotsMolde FK 24 shots, KFUM Oslo 5 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotMolde FK 6 shots, KFUM Oslo 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.81 xG0.18 xGMolde FK 1.81 xG, KFUM Oslo 0.18 xG
  • Possession72%28%Molde FK 72%, KFUM Oslo 28%
  • Corners9 corners2 cornersMolde FK 9 corners, KFUM Oslo 2 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls10 foulsMolde FK 7 fouls, KFUM Oslo 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsMolde FK 0 cards, KFUM Oslo 2 cards
  • Passes656 passes261 passesMolde FK 656 passes, KFUM Oslo 261 passes
  • Pass accuracy89%72.8%Molde FK 89%, KFUM Oslo 72.8%
  • Shots inside box13 shots2 shotsMolde FK 13 shots, KFUM Oslo 2 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks3 blocksMolde FK 7 blocks, KFUM Oslo 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save4 savesMolde FK 1 save, KFUM Oslo 4 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides3 offsidesMolde FK 3 offsides, KFUM Oslo 3 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 37′Oskar Spiten-NysæterGoal · Molde FK
  2. Half-time
  3. 47′Jacob Blixt FlatenYellow card · KFUM Oslo
  4. 61′Jacob Blixt FlatenSecond yellow · KFUM Oslo
  5. 73′Trent Kone DohertyGoal · Molde FK
  6. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 39′Molde FK · 1 player changeMats Møller Dæhli
  • 65′KFUM Oslo · 1 player changeJulian Bakkeli Gonstad
  • 70′KFUM Oslo · 1 player changeBrage Tobiassen
  • 71′Molde FK · 1 player changeTrent Kone Doherty
  • 71′KFUM Oslo · 2 player changesIsaiah Zion Kabi Skovsgaard · David Hickson Gyedu
  • 72′Molde FK · 2 player changesFredrik Kristensen Dahl · Sander Hestetun Kilen
  • 84′Molde FK · 1 player changeViktor Bender
  • 88′KFUM Oslo · 1 player changeSander Hansen Sjøkvist

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Molde FK
2Draws
2KFUM Oslo
KFUM Oslo — Molde FK · Eliteserien2–4
KFUM Oslo — Molde FK · Eliteserien0–0
Molde FK — KFUM Oslo · Eliteserien2–3
KFUM Oslo — Molde FK · Eliteserien1–1
Molde FK — KFUM Oslo · Eliteserien2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Molde FK favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · KFUM Oslo in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Molde FK19 matchesKFUM Oslo19 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/191.05 goals/match
1.53 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.74 goals/match
1.77 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.09 xG/match
14.6 shots/match ▲Shots19/1910.5 shots/match
5.37 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/193.89 shots/match
59.4% ●Possession19/1944.5%
5.47 corners/match ●Corners19/194.11 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards4/83.25 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls19/1912.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMolde FKKFUM Oslo
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headMolde FK — KFUM Oslo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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