PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026

Vålerenga IF 3–4 Molde FK · Eliteserien

3–4Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Molde FK won 3–4.

Shots
2114
Shots on target
59
Expected goals
1.821.73
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Molde FK beat Vålerenga IF 4–3. Recorded in this match (Vålerenga IF – Molde FK): shots 21–14, shots on target 5–9, expected goals 1.82–1.73, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Molde FK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Molde FK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3 goals/match2 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Molde FK have recorded the higher season possession share.

49.1%PossessionVålerenga IF · Molde FK● 58.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVålerenga IFMolde FKBaseline
Possession49.1%58.7%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots14 shotsVålerenga IF 21 shots, Molde FK 14 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots9 shotsVålerenga IF 5 shots, Molde FK 9 shots
  • Expected goals1.82 xG1.73 xGVålerenga IF 1.82 xG, Molde FK 1.73 xG
  • Possession49%51%Vålerenga IF 49%, Molde FK 51%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersVålerenga IF 5 corners, Molde FK 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsVålerenga IF 10 fouls, Molde FK 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsVålerenga IF 3 cards, Molde FK 2 cards
  • Passes488 passes506 passesVålerenga IF 488 passes, Molde FK 506 passes
  • Pass accuracy79.9%82.6%Vålerenga IF 79.9%, Molde FK 82.6%
  • Shots inside box13 shots11 shotsVålerenga IF 13 shots, Molde FK 11 shots
  • Blocked shots9 blocks1 blockVålerenga IF 9 blocks, Molde FK 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves2 savesVålerenga IF 5 saves, Molde FK 2 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesVålerenga IF 1 offside, Molde FK 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 11′Eirik HestadGoal · Molde FK
  2. 19′Lucas HarenGoal · Vålerenga IF
  3. 21′Mathias GrundetjernGoal · Vålerenga IF
  4. 30′Sondre Milian GranaasGoal · Molde FK
  5. 40′Jalal AbdullaiGoal · Molde FK
  6. 45′Caleb Zady SeryGoal · Molde FK
  7. 45′Carl LangeGoal · Vålerenga IF
  8. Half-time
  9. 70′Emil BreivikYellow card · Molde FK
  10. 76′Sondre Milian GranaasYellow card · Molde FK
  11. 76′Aaron Kiil OlsenYellow card · Vålerenga IF
  12. 78′Mathias GrundetjernYellow card · Vålerenga IF
  13. 79′Ivan NäsbergYellow card · Vålerenga IF
  14. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 29′Molde FK · 1 player changeCaleb Zady Sery
  • 55′Vålerenga IF · 1 player changePetter Strand
  • 61′Molde FK · 2 player changesMats Møller Dæhli · Viktor Bender
  • 77′Vålerenga IF · 3 player changesKevin Tshiembe · Ghayas Zahid · Ole Christian Saeter
  • 80′Molde FK · 1 player changeNiklas Odegard
  • 81′Molde FK · 1 player changeTrent Kone Doherty
  • 88′Vålerenga IF · 1 player changeOdin Thiago Holm

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Vålerenga IF
1Draws
4Molde FK
Molde FK — Vålerenga IF · Eliteserien5–1
Molde FK — Vålerenga IF · Eliteserien4–1
Vålerenga IF — Molde FK · Eliteserien2–3
Molde FK — Vålerenga IF · Eliteserien0–0
Vålerenga IF — Molde FK · Eliteserien0–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vålerenga IF favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Molde FK in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vålerenga IF18 matchesMolde FK18 matches
1.72 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 2 goals/match
2.11 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 1.61 goals/match
1.55 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲ 1.77 xG/match
16.4 shots/match ▲Shots18/1814.1 shots/match
5.72 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/185.33 shots/match
49.1%Possession18/18● 58.7%
6.67 corners/match ●Corners18/185.28 corners/match
4 cards/matchCards3/33.67 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls18/1811.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVålerenga IFMolde FK
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headVålerenga IF — Molde FK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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