PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026

SK Brann 1–2 Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Lillestrøm SK won 1–2.

Shots
248
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.951.33
Possession
73%27%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lillestrøm SK beat SK Brann 2–1. Recorded in this match (SK Brann – Lillestrøm SK): shots 24–8, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.95–1.33, possession 73%–27%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lillestrøm SK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lillestrøm SK's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.37 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.37 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SK Brann have a visible home split

moderate

SK Brann's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17 shots/match14.5 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots8 shotsSK Brann 24 shots, Lillestrøm SK 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsSK Brann 3 shots, Lillestrøm SK 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.95 xG1.33 xGSK Brann 1.95 xG, Lillestrøm SK 1.33 xG
  • Possession73%27%SK Brann 73%, Lillestrøm SK 27%
  • Corners11 corners0 cornersSK Brann 11 corners, Lillestrøm SK 0 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls8 foulsSK Brann 11 fouls, Lillestrøm SK 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardSK Brann 1 card, Lillestrøm SK 1 card
  • Passes681 passes265 passesSK Brann 681 passes, Lillestrøm SK 265 passes
  • Pass accuracy85%64.9%SK Brann 85%, Lillestrøm SK 64.9%
  • Shots inside box16 shots6 shotsSK Brann 16 shots, Lillestrøm SK 6 shots
  • Blocked shots11 blocks1 blockSK Brann 11 blocks, Lillestrøm SK 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves2 savesSK Brann 2 saves, Lillestrøm SK 2 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideSK Brann 2 offsides, Lillestrøm SK 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 6′Felix VáGoal · Lillestrøm SK
  2. 22′Fredrik GulbrandsenGoal · Lillestrøm SK
  3. 45′Noah Jean HolmYellow card · SK Brann
  4. Half-time
  5. 56′Ylldren IbrahimajYellow card · Lillestrøm SK
  6. 89′Bård FinneGoal · SK Brann
  7. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 4′Lillestrøm SK · 1 player changeStian Kristiansen
  • 46′SK Brann · 1 player changeLeo Cornic
  • 61′Lillestrøm SK · 2 player changesThomas Lehne Olsen · Yaw Paintsil
  • 68′SK Brann · 2 player changesKristall Máni Ingason · Bård Finne
  • 76′SK Brann · 1 player changeSævar Atli Magnússon
  • 76′Lillestrøm SK · 1 player changeFilip Ottosson
  • 83′SK Brann · 1 player changeJulian Lægreid

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

SK Brann
  1. Mathias DyngelandG
  2. Fredrik Pallesen KnudsenD
  3. Joachim SoltvedtD
  4. Vetle DragsnesD
  5. Thore PedersenD
  6. Ulrik MathisenM
  7. Jacob Lungi SørensenM
  8. Niklas Jensen WassbergM
  9. Niklas CastroF
  10. Kristian EriksenF
  11. Noah Jean HolmF
Lillestrøm SK
  1. Pontus DahlbergG
  2. Lars RangerD
  3. Espen Bjørnsen GarnåsD
  4. Sander Moen FossD
  5. Frederik ElkærD
  6. Gustav Kjolstad NyheimM
  7. Eric KitolanoM
  8. Felix VáM
  9. Daniel BassiM
  10. Ylldren IbrahimajM
  11. Fredrik GulbrandsenF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4SK Brann
1Draws
0Lillestrøm SK
SK Brann — Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien2–1
Lillestrøm SK — SK Brann · Eliteserien0–2
Lillestrøm SK — SK Brann · Eliteserien0–2
SK Brann — Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien2–2
Lillestrøm SK — SK Brann · Eliteserien2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SK Brann favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Lillestrøm SK in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SK Brann19 matchesLillestrøm SK19 matches
1.95 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/191.37 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 1.37 goals/match
1.64 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.51 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots19/1912.2 shots/match
5.05 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/194 shots/match
59.4% ●Possession19/1951.5%
6.68 corners/match ●Corners19/195.16 corners/match
0.75 cards/matchCards4/32.33 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls19/1910.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSK BrannLillestrøm SK
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headSK Brann — Lillestrøm SK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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