PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026

Lillestrøm SK 1–4 Fredrikstad FK · Eliteserien

1–4Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Fredrikstad FK won 1–4.

Shots
1713
Shots on target
59
Expected goals
2.173.07
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fredrikstad FK beat Lillestrøm SK 4–1. Recorded in this match (Lillestrøm SK – Fredrikstad FK): shots 17–13, shots on target 5–9, expected goals 2.17–3.07, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lillestrøm SK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lillestrøm SK's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fredrikstad FK show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Fredrikstad FK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLillestrøm SK · Fredrikstad FK11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLillestrøm SKFredrikstad FKBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match11.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against12.3 shots/match14.6 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots13 shotsLillestrøm SK 17 shots, Fredrikstad FK 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots9 shotsLillestrøm SK 5 shots, Fredrikstad FK 9 shots
  • Expected goals2.17 xG3.07 xGLillestrøm SK 2.17 xG, Fredrikstad FK 3.07 xG
  • Possession54%46%Lillestrøm SK 54%, Fredrikstad FK 46%
  • Corners10 corners3 cornersLillestrøm SK 10 corners, Fredrikstad FK 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls8 foulsLillestrøm SK 10 fouls, Fredrikstad FK 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardLillestrøm SK 2 cards, Fredrikstad FK 1 card
  • Passes518 passes459 passesLillestrøm SK 518 passes, Fredrikstad FK 459 passes
  • Pass accuracy80.9%79.1%Lillestrøm SK 80.9%, Fredrikstad FK 79.1%
  • Shots inside box11 shots8 shotsLillestrøm SK 11 shots, Fredrikstad FK 8 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks1 blockLillestrøm SK 5 blocks, Fredrikstad FK 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves3 savesLillestrøm SK 5 saves, Fredrikstad FK 3 saves
  • Offsides5 offsides1 offsideLillestrøm SK 5 offsides, Fredrikstad FK 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 8′Solomon OwusuGoal · Fredrikstad FK
  2. 17′Frederik ElkærYellow card · Lillestrøm SK
  3. 18′Max NilssonPenalty goal · Fredrikstad FK
  4. 37′Fredrik GulbrandsenPenalty goal · Lillestrøm SK
  5. Half-time
  6. 54′Benjamin FaraasYellow card · Fredrikstad FK
  7. 65′Benjamin FaraasGoal · Fredrikstad FK
  8. 79′Benjamin FaraasGoal · Fredrikstad FK
  9. 86′Harald WoxenYellow card · Lillestrøm SK
  10. Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Lillestrøm SK · 1 player changeDaniel Bassi
  • 59′Fredrikstad FK · 2 player changesGabriel Wesseh · Jakub Jezierski
  • 60′Fredrikstad FK · 1 player changeFanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
  • 65′Lillestrøm SK · 1 player changeThomas Lehne Olsen
  • 67′Fredrikstad FK · 1 player changeSimen Rafn
  • 72′Lillestrøm SK · 1 player changeHarald Woxen
  • 84′Fredrikstad FK · 1 player changeUlrik Fredriksen

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lillestrøm SK
0Draws
2Fredrikstad FK
Fredrikstad FK — Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien0–2
Fredrikstad FK — Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien2–1
Lillestrøm SK — Fredrikstad FK · Eliteserien0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lillestrøm SK favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Fredrikstad FK in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lillestrøm SK18 matchesFredrikstad FK18 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/181.22 goals/match
1.39 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.56 goals/match
1.52 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/181.26 xG/match
12.4 shots/match ▲Shots18/1811.3 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target18/183.94 shots/match
52.8% ●Possession18/1847.6%
5.44 corners/match ●Corners18/184.06 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls18/1810.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Aug 2026, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLillestrøm SKFredrikstad FK
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headLillestrøm SK — Fredrikstad FK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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