Sarpsborg 08 1–0 HamKam — Match Stats & Analysis

Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 15:00 UTCSarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg 08

LWWWD

1–0Full-time analysis

HamKam

WDDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Sarpsborg 08 won 1–0.

Shots: 1314
Shots on target: 43
Expected goals: 1.691.03
Possession: 38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sarpsborg 08 beat HamKam 1–0. Recorded in this match (Sarpsborg 08 – HamKam): shots 13–14, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.69–1.03, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

HamKam's recent record differs from the season

moderate

HamKam's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goal/match	1.43 goals/match	1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for HamKam.

8.04 days ▲Rest daysSarpsborg 08 · HamKam3.92 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Sarpsborg 08	HamKam	Baseline
Rest days	8.04 days	3.92 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	3 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

HamKam show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

HamKam's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsSarpsborg 08 · HamKam9.93 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Sarpsborg 08	HamKam	Baseline
Shots	11.5 shots/match	9.93 shots/match	12.5 shots/match
Shots against	11.9 shots/match	15.4 shots/match	13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

Shots13 shots14 shotsSarpsborg 08 13 shots, HamKam 14 shots
Shots on target4 shots3 shotsSarpsborg 08 4 shots, HamKam 3 shots
Expected goals1.69 xG1.03 xGSarpsborg 08 1.69 xG, HamKam 1.03 xG
Possession38%62%Sarpsborg 08 38%, HamKam 62%
Corners4 corners3 cornersSarpsborg 08 4 corners, HamKam 3 corners
Fouls19 fouls9 foulsSarpsborg 08 19 fouls, HamKam 9 fouls
Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsSarpsborg 08 3 cards, HamKam 3 cards
Passes322 passes519 passesSarpsborg 08 322 passes, HamKam 519 passes
Pass accuracy76.7%86.3%Sarpsborg 08 76.7%, HamKam 86.3%
Shots inside box7 shots9 shotsSarpsborg 08 7 shots, HamKam 9 shots
Blocked shots3 blocks2 blocksSarpsborg 08 3 blocks, HamKam 2 blocks
Goalkeeper saves3 saves3 savesSarpsborg 08 3 saves, HamKam 3 saves
Offsides1 offside0 offsidesSarpsborg 08 1 offside, HamKam 0 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Sarpsborg 08: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.61 xG. HamKam: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.62 xG. · 5 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sarpsborg 08 1.61 xG · HamKam 0.62 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Sarpsborg 08

1Draws

1HamKam

31 Aug 2025HamKam — Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien1–3

11 May 2025Sarpsborg 08 — HamKam · Eliteserien4–0

20 Oct 2024HamKam — Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien0–2

16 May 2024Sarpsborg 08 — HamKam · Eliteserien1–7

24 Sept 2023HamKam — Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sarpsborg 08 favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · HamKam in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sarpsborg 0814 matchesHamKam14 matches

1.07 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.43 goals/match

1.14 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.86 goals/match

1.36 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/141.19 xG/match

11.5 shots/match ▲Shots14/149.93 shots/match

4.07 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/143.79 shots/match

44.3%Possession14/14● 46%

4.93 corners/match ●Corners14/143.93 corners/match

10.9 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready

Season samples14 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Match at a glance

What the match recorded