Allsvenskan · 2026Mon, 3 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Halmstad

WLLLL

vsPre-match analysis

Sirius

WWDWW

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Halmstad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Sirius's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Halmstad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Halmstad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.77 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	0.77 goals/match	1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sirius show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sirius's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match▲ShotsHalmstad · Sirius15.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Halmstad	Sirius	Baseline
Shots	11.8 shots/match	15.2 shots/match	14.2 shots/match
Shots against	16.7 shots/match	13.2 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Halmstad favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Sirius in 11 · 3 too close

0.77 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/13▲2.77 goals/match

2.15 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/13▲1.23 goals/match

0.86 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/7▲2.62 xG/match

2.35 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/7▲0.95 xG/match

11.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/13▲15.2 shots/match

16.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/13▲13.2 shots/match

3.15 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/13▲6.08 shots/match

5.92 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/13▲3.77 shots/match

40.8%Possessionseason · 13/1347.2%

3.46 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/135.31 corners/match

6.31 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/13▲5.15 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/1—

13.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1312.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

8%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/13▲31%

62%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/13▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Halmstad3.1

Sirius25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Halmstad15.6

Sirius86.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Halmstad11.5

Sirius74

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Halmstad65.6

Sirius84.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Halmstad75

Sirius56.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 54%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Halmstad3.1

Sirius62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Halmstad30.5

Sirius70.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.8 goals/match

2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.16 xG/matchExpected goals4/3▲2.7 xG/match

13 shots/matchShots5/5▲15.2 shots/match

3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲7 shots/match

42.2%Possession5/545%

5 corners/matchCorners5/56 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

14 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.7 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.5 goals/match

0.95 xG/matchExpected goals6/5▲2.47 xG/match

12.5 shots/matchShots10/10▲16.4 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲6.6 shots/match

39.4%Possession10/1047.9%

3.9 corners/matchCorners10/105.8 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches

0.77 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲2.77 goals/match

2.15 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲1.23 goals/match

0.86 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲2.62 xG/match

11.8 shots/matchShots13/13▲15.2 shots/match

3.15 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲6.08 shots/match

40.8%Possession13/1347.2%

3.46 corners/matchCorners13/135.31 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

13.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches

0.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲2.71 goals/match

1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲1.14 goals/match

0.8 xG/matchExpected goals4/3▲2.19 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShots7/7▲14.1 shots/match

2.71 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲6.14 shots/match

45.3%Possession7/747%

3.14 corners/matchCorners7/75 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

14.3 fouls/matchFouls7/714.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115.1 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples13 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness15 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 3 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4