Allsvenskan · 2026Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTCScheduledStudenternas IPPre-match analysis

Sirius

WWDWW

vsPre-match analysis

IFK Goteborg

DWLLW

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: IFK Goteborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

IFK Goteborg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

IFK Goteborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.23 goals/match	1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sirius favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · IFK Goteborg in 1 · 5 too close

2.77 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 13/131.23 goals/match

1.23 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 13/132.23 goals/match

2.62 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 7/81.78 xG/match

0.95 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 7/81.5 xG/match

15.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/13▲16.8 shots/match

13.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/1313.4 shots/match

6.08 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 13/135 shots/match

3.77 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 13/135 shots/match

47.2%Possessionseason · 13/1350.1%

5.31 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/135.62 corners/match

5.15 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/135.38 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/1—

12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1312.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

31%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/130%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1362%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sirius25

IFK Goteborg59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sirius86.5

IFK Goteborg61.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sirius74

IFK Goteborg29.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sirius84.4

IFK Goteborg90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sirius56.2

IFK Goteborg65.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 54%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sirius62.5

IFK Goteborg81.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sirius70.3

IFK Goteborg76.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.8 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match

2.7 xG/match▲Expected goals3/32.47 xG/match

15.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲18.8 shots/match

7 shots/match▲Shots on target5/56 shots/match

45%Possession5/545.2%

6 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

12 fouls/matchFouls5/513.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2.7 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.5 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.4 goals/match

2.47 xG/match▲Expected goals5/61.95 xG/match

16.4 shots/matchShots10/1017.1 shots/match

6.6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/105.4 shots/match

47.9%Possession10/1046.1%

5.8 corners/matchCorners10/105.5 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

12.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches

2.77 goals/match▲Goals scored13/131.23 goals/match

1.23 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/132.23 goals/match

2.62 xG/match▲Expected goals7/81.78 xG/match

15.2 shots/matchShots13/13▲16.8 shots/match

6.08 shots/match▲Shots on target13/135 shots/match

47.2%Possession13/1350.1%

5.31 corners/matchCorners13/135.62 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 7 matches

2.83 goals/match▲Goals scored6/71.43 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/72.86 goals/match

2.95 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.43 xG/match

16.3 shots/matchShots6/715.7 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target6/74.57 shots/match

47.3%Possession6/750.3%

5.67 corners/matchCorners6/74.86 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

9.83 fouls/matchFouls6/711.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples13 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness7 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTC · analysis-v4