Allsvenskan · 2026Sun, 19 Jul 2026, 14:30 UTCFull time3ArenaFull-time recap

Hammarby FF

LLLWW

4–0Full-time recap

Degerfors IF

DLDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Hammarby FF	Degerfors IF
Shots	22 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	11 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	3.32 xG/match▲	0.71 xG/match
Possession	64%	36%
Corners	6 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Degerfors IF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Degerfors IF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Degerfors IF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Degerfors IF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	0.92 goals/match	1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Degerfors IF show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Degerfors IF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

20.4 shots/match▲ShotsHammarby FF · Degerfors IF11.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Hammarby FF	Degerfors IF	Baseline
Shots	20.4 shots/match	11.2 shots/match	14.2 shots/match
Shots against	11.1 shots/match	12.1 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Hammarby FF have a visible home split

moderate

Hammarby FF's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

23.5 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season20.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	23.5 shots/match	20.4 shots/match	14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Hammarby FF favored in 11 of 14 directional metrics · Degerfors IF in 0 · 3 too close

2.29 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/130.92 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 14/131.77 goals/match

2.53 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 8/100.89 xG/match

1.17 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 8/101.71 xG/match

20.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 14/1311.2 shots/match

11.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 14/1312.1 shots/match

7.21 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 14/132.92 shots/match

3.5 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 14/134.62 shots/match

60%Possessionseason · 14/1347.6%

5.57 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/134.46 corners/match

2.79 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 14/134.23 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/0—

10.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1314.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

36%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/138%

86%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1362%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Hammarby FF96.9

Degerfors IF34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Hammarby FF92.7

Degerfors IF11.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Hammarby FF95.9

Degerfors IF53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Hammarby FF96.9

Degerfors IF15.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Hammarby FF12.5

Degerfors IF90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Hammarby FF65.6

Degerfors IF25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Hammarby FF68

Degerfors IF35.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match

2.44 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.94 xG/match

18.8 shots/match▲Shots5/512.2 shots/match

7.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match

57%Possession5/545.8%

6.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/513.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.9 goals/match

2.27 xG/match▲Expected goals7/70.87 xG/match

20.1 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.7 shots/match

7.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103 shots/match

57.8%Possession10/1046%

5.9 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

10.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 13 matches

2.29 goals/match▲Goals scored14/130.92 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/131.77 goals/match

2.53 xG/match▲Expected goals8/100.89 xG/match

20.4 shots/match▲Shots14/1311.2 shots/match

7.21 shots/match▲Shots on target14/132.92 shots/match

60%Possession14/1347.6%

5.57 corners/matchCorners14/134.46 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

10.9 fouls/matchFouls14/1314.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 6 matches

3.25 goals/match▲Goals scored8/61 goals/match

0.63 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/61.67 goals/match

2.99 xG/match▲Expected goals5/41.02 xG/match

23.5 shots/match▲Shots8/611.8 shots/match

8.63 shots/match▲Shots on target8/64.17 shots/match

59.5%Possession8/649.3%

6.25 corners/matchCorners8/64.17 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.9 fouls/matchFouls8/612 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.1 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples14 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Jul 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4