PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Defensa y Justicia vs CA Independiente · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.231.23
Expected goals
1.550.89
Shots
12.313.1
Possession
52.1%51.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: defensa y Justicia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Defensa y Justicia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Defensa y Justicia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.23 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Defensa y Justicia favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · CA Independiente in 6 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Defensa y Justicia30 matchesCA Independiente31 matches
1.23 goals/matchGoals scored30/311.23 goals/match
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/311.23 goals/match
1.55 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/130.89 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots30/31▲ 13.1 shots/match
4.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/313.87 shots/match
52.1% ●Possession30/3151.8%
4.2 corners/matchCorners30/31● 5.77 corners/match
2.08 cards/matchCards12/113.18 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls30/3111.1 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Defensa y Justicia
0Draws
1CA Independiente
CA Independiente — Defensa y Justicia · Liga Profesional de Fútbol3–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness23 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDefensa y JusticiaCA Independiente
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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