PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Rosario Central vs Huracán · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.171
Expected goals
1.261.2
Shots
13.611.9
Possession
56.8%51.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: huracan's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Alongside it: huracan's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Huracan have a visible away split

moderate

Huracan's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.4 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Huracan's recent record differs from the season

weak

Huracan's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rosario Central favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Huracán in 2 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rosario Central30 matchesHuracán28 matches
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/281 goal/match
0.93 goals/matchGoals allowed30/28▲ 0.79 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals13/121.2 xG/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots30/2811.9 shots/match
4.73 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/283.86 shots/match
56.8% ●Possession30/2851.8%
5.33 corners/match ●Corners30/283.79 corners/match
2.42 cards/matchCards12/104.3 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls30/2813.1 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Rosario Central
0Draws
1Huracán
Huracán — Rosario Central · Liga Profesional de Fútbol3–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRosario CentralHuracán
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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