PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Sarmiento vs Barracas Central · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.110.8
Expected goals
1.290.89
Shots
10.510.4
Possession
44.6%42.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: barracas Central's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Barracas Central's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Barracas Central's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.8 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.8 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sarmiento favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Barracas Central in 6 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sarmiento27 matchesBarracas Central25 matches
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/250.8 goals/match
1.37 goals/matchGoals allowed27/25▲ 0.84 goals/match
1.29 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/90.89 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots27/2510.4 shots/match
3.78 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/253.4 shots/match
44.6% ●Possession27/2542.2%
3.7 corners/match ●Corners27/252.52 corners/match
4.25 cards/matchCards12/112.09 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls27/2513.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Sarmiento
0Draws
0Barracas Central
Barracas Central — Sarmiento · Liga Profesional de Fútbol1–2

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness34 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSarmientoBarracas Central
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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