PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Sarmiento vs Barracas Central · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.180.85
Expected goals
1.330.87
Shots
10.610.3
Possession
44.8%43.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: sarmiento's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Sarmiento's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sarmiento's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sarmiento favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Barracas Central in 6 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sarmiento28 matchesBarracas Central27 matches
1.18 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/270.85 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed28/27▲ 0.89 goals/match
1.33 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/110.87 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots28/2710.3 shots/match
3.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/273.41 shots/match
44.8% ●Possession28/2743.8%
3.61 corners/match ●Corners28/272.74 corners/match
4.25 cards/matchCards12/112.09 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls28/2713.1 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Sarmiento
0Draws
0Barracas Central
Barracas Central — Sarmiento · Liga Profesional de Fútbol1–2

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples28 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness15 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSarmientoBarracas Central
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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