Racing Club vs CA Independiente — Stats & Match Analysis

Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC

Racing Club

DLLLW

vsPre-match analysis

CA Independiente

WDLWD

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored: 1.071.25
Expected goals: 1.121.01
Shots: 12.713.4
Possession: 56.6%52.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: racing Club's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: racing Club's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Racing Club's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Racing Club's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	1.07 goals/match	1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Racing Club have a visible home split

moderate

Racing Club's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	15 shots/match	12.7 shots/match	12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Racing Club favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · CA Independiente in 6 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Racing Club29 matchesCA Independiente28 matches

1.07 goals/matchGoals scored29/28▲ 1.25 goals/match

1.1 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/281.18 goals/match

1.12 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/101.01 xG/match

12.7 shots/matchShots29/2813.4 shots/match

3.69 shots/matchShots on target29/28▲ 4 shots/match

56.6% ●Possession29/2852.4%

4.38 corners/matchCorners29/28● 6.18 corners/match

4.31 cards/matchCards13/103 cards/match

13.6 fouls/matchFouls29/2811.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Racing Club

0Draws

1CA Independiente

4 Apr 2026CA Independiente — Racing Club · Liga Profesional de Fútbol1–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples29 / 28home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Season

What the record shows