Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Huracán vs Gimnasia y Esgrima · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.961.18
Expected goals
1.291.36
Shots
1211.2
Possession
52.8%44.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: huracán's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Alongside it: huracán have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Huracán have a visible home split

moderate

Huracán's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match12 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Gimnasia y Esgrima's recent record differs from the season

weak

Gimnasia y Esgrima's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Huracán have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.8% ●PossessionHuracán · Gimnasia y Esgrima44.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricHuracánGimnasia y EsgrimaBaseline
Possession52.8%44.1%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Huracán favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Gimnasia y Esgrima in 3 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Huracán27 matchesGimnasia y Esgrima28 matches
0.96 goals/matchGoals scored27/28▲ 1.18 goals/match
0.78 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/281.21 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals11/111.36 xG/match
12 shots/match ▲Shots27/2811.2 shots/match
3.93 shots/matchShots on target27/283.75 shots/match
52.8% ●Possession27/2844.1%
3.93 corners/match ●Corners27/283.82 corners/match
4.3 cards/matchCards10/113.27 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls27/2812 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Huracán
0Draws
0Gimnasia y Esgrima
Gimnasia y Esgrima — Huracán · Liga Profesional de Fútbol0–3

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

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