PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Huracán vs Gimnasia y Esgrima · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
11.2
Expected goals
1.231.56
Shots
12.111.7
Possession
51.8%44.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: huracán's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: huracán's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Huracán's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Huracán's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Huracán have a visible home split

moderate

Huracán's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Huracán favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Gimnasia y Esgrima in 5 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Huracán29 matchesGimnasia y Esgrima30 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored29/30▲ 1.2 goals/match
0.76 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/301.23 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.56 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots29/3011.7 shots/match
3.97 shots/matchShots on target29/303.87 shots/match
51.8% ●Possession29/3044.8%
3.86 corners/match ●Corners29/303.83 corners/match
4.09 cards/matchCards11/113.27 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls29/3011.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Huracán
0Draws
0Gimnasia y Esgrima
Gimnasia y Esgrima — Huracán · Liga Profesional de Fútbol0–3

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples29 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness16 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHuracánGimnasia y Esgrima
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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