Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.710.46
Expected goals
0.81.03
Shots
10.710.3
Possession
49.1%35.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: san Lorenzo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Alongside it: san Lorenzo have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

San Lorenzo have a visible home split

strong

San Lorenzo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match10.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

San Lorenzo's recent record differs from the season

weak

San Lorenzo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.71 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

San Lorenzo have recorded the higher season possession share.

49.1% ●PossessionSan Lorenzo · Deportivo Riestra35.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSan LorenzoDeportivo RiestraBaseline
Possession49.1%35.3%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: San Lorenzo favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Riestra in 6 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

San Lorenzo28 matchesDeportivo Riestra28 matches
0.71 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/280.46 goals/match
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/280.89 goals/match
0.8 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.03 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots28/2810.3 shots/match
3.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/283.32 shots/match
49.1% ●Possession28/2835.3%
3.82 corners/matchCorners28/28● 3.96 corners/match
2.77 cards/matchCards13/104 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls28/2816.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0San Lorenzo
1Draws
0Deportivo Riestra
Deportivo Riestra — San Lorenzo · Liga Profesional de Fútbol1–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

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