PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Huracán vs Aldosivi · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.960.68
Expected goals
1.290.89
Shots
1212
Possession
52.8%42.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: aldosivi's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: huracán's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Aldosivi's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Aldosivi's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.68 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match0.68 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Huracán have a visible home split

moderate

Huracán's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match12 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Huracán have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.8% ●PossessionHuracán · Aldosivi42.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricHuracánAldosiviBaseline
Possession52.8%42.1%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Huracán favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Aldosivi in 0 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Huracán27 matchesAldosivi25 matches
0.96 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/250.68 goals/match
0.78 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/251.4 goals/match
1.29 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/90.89 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots27/2512 shots/match
3.93 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/253.36 shots/match
52.8% ●Possession27/2542.1%
3.93 corners/matchCorners27/25● 4.16 corners/match
4.3 cards/matchCards10/123.33 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls27/2514 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Huracán
1Draws
0Aldosivi
Aldosivi — Huracán · Liga Profesional de Fútbol0–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness22 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHuracánAldosivi
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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