PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Argentinos Juniors vs Tigre · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

vsPre-match analysis

Tigre

DWDLL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.181
Expected goals
1.321.2
Shots
14.313.4
Possession
62.8%46.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: argentinos Juniors have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: tigre's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Tigre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tigre's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Argentinos Juniors have a visible home split

moderate

Argentinos Juniors's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.8 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Argentinos Juniors have recorded the higher season possession share.

62.8% ●PossessionArgentinos Juniors · Tigre46.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricArgentinos JuniorsTigreBaseline
Possession62.8%46.7%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Argentinos Juniors favored in 13 of 13 directional metrics · Tigre in 0

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Argentinos Juniors28 matchesTigre25 matches
1.18 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/251 goal/match
0.79 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/250.84 goals/match
1.32 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/91.2 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots28/2513.4 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/253.88 shots/match
62.8% ●Possession28/2546.7%
5.75 corners/match ●Corners28/254.04 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCards8/112.27 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls28/2511.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Argentinos Juniors
1Draws
0Tigre
Tigre — Argentinos Juniors · Liga Profesional de Fútbol1–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness21 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsArgentinos JuniorsTigre
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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