PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Vélez Sarsfield 3–2 Tigre · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

3–2Full-time analysis

Tigre

DWDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Vélez Sarsfield won 3–2.

Shots
2313
Shots on target
89
Expected goals
1.321.54
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vélez Sarsfield beat Tigre 3–2. Recorded in this match (Vélez Sarsfield – Tigre): shots 23–13, shots on target 8–9, expected goals 1.32–1.54, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vélez Sarsfield's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vélez Sarsfield's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.24 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.24 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots13 shotsVélez Sarsfield 23 shots, Tigre 13 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots9 shotsVélez Sarsfield 8 shots, Tigre 9 shots
  • Expected goals1.32 xG1.54 xGVélez Sarsfield 1.32 xG, Tigre 1.54 xG
  • Possession57%43%Vélez Sarsfield 57%, Tigre 43%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersVélez Sarsfield 2 corners, Tigre 7 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls9 foulsVélez Sarsfield 9 fouls, Tigre 9 fouls
  • Passes495 passes359 passesVélez Sarsfield 495 passes, Tigre 359 passes
  • Pass accuracy83.6%78.3%Vélez Sarsfield 83.6%, Tigre 78.3%
  • Shots inside box11 shots9 shotsVélez Sarsfield 11 shots, Tigre 9 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks1 blockVélez Sarsfield 7 blocks, Tigre 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves7 saves5 savesVélez Sarsfield 7 saves, Tigre 5 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesVélez Sarsfield 2 offsides, Tigre 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Vélez Sarsfield
1Draws
0Tigre
Tigre — Vélez Sarsfield · Liga Profesional de Fútbol1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vélez Sarsfield favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Tigre in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vélez Sarsfield29 matchesTigre26 matches
1.24 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/261.04 goals/match
0.79 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/260.92 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals11/10▲ 1.24 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots29/26▲ 13.4 shots/match
4.03 shots/matchShots on target29/264.08 shots/match
53.4% ●Possession29/2646.6%
4.28 corners/match ●Corners29/264.15 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards10/112.27 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls29/2611.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples29 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 21 Sept 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVélez SarsfieldTigre
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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