PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Belgrano 2–1 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Belgrano won 2–1.

Shots
1516
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
1.011.17
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Belgrano beat Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2–1. Recorded in this match (Belgrano – Estudiantes de Río Cuarto): shots 15–16, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 1.01–1.17, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.38 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots16 shotsBelgrano 15 shots, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 16 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsBelgrano 6 shots, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.01 xG1.17 xGBelgrano 1.01 xG, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 1.17 xG
  • Possession63%37%Belgrano 63%, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 37%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersBelgrano 6 corners, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls15 foulsBelgrano 11 fouls, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsBelgrano 2 cards, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2 cards
  • Passes521 passes291 passesBelgrano 521 passes, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 291 passes
  • Pass accuracy81%77.3%Belgrano 81%, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 77.3%
  • Shots inside box5 shots11 shotsBelgrano 5 shots, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 11 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks2 blocksBelgrano 3 blocks, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves4 savesBelgrano 4 saves, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 4 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides2 offsidesBelgrano 3 offsides, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Belgrano
0Draws
0Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto — Belgrano · Liga Profesional de Fútbol0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Belgrano favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Estudiantes de Río Cuarto in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Belgrano32 matchesEstudiantes de Río Cuarto26 matches
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/260.38 goals/match
0.72 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/261.42 goals/match
1.18 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/100.74 xG/match
12.5 shots/match ▲Shots32/2610.8 shots/match
3.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/262.42 shots/match
51.4% ●Possession32/2646.9%
3.81 corners/matchCorners32/26● 4.5 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards12/102.5 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls32/2612.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples32 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 21 Sept 2026, 02:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBelgranoEstudiantes de Río Cuarto
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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