PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Tigre 0–1 Rosario Central · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Tigre

WDWDL
0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Rosario Central won 0–1.

Shots
1312
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
1.372.02
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rosario Central beat Tigre 1–0. Recorded in this match (Tigre – Rosario Central): shots 13–12, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 1.37–2.02, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Tigre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tigre's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rosario Central have a visible away split

moderate

Rosario Central's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Rosario Central have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.7%PossessionTigre · Rosario Central● 57.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricTigreRosario CentralBaseline
Possession46.7%57.4%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots12 shotsTigre 13 shots, Rosario Central 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsTigre 3 shots, Rosario Central 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.37 xG2.02 xGTigre 1.37 xG, Rosario Central 2.02 xG
  • Possession42%58%Tigre 42%, Rosario Central 58%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersTigre 4 corners, Rosario Central 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls8 foulsTigre 13 fouls, Rosario Central 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards3 cardsTigre 4 cards, Rosario Central 3 cards
  • Passes331 passes473 passesTigre 331 passes, Rosario Central 473 passes
  • Pass accuracy74.3%82%Tigre 74.3%, Rosario Central 82%
  • Shots inside box8 shots8 shotsTigre 8 shots, Rosario Central 8 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks0 blocksTigre 2 blocks, Rosario Central 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves3 savesTigre 6 saves, Rosario Central 3 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideTigre 0 offsides, Rosario Central 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Tigre
1Draws
0Rosario Central
Rosario Central — Tigre · Liga Profesional de Fútbol1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Tigre favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Rosario Central in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Tigre25 matchesRosario Central29 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored25/29▲ 1.17 goals/match
0.84 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/290.97 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals9/12▲ 1.3 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots25/2913.6 shots/match
3.88 shots/matchShots on target25/29▲ 4.69 shots/match
46.7%Possession25/29● 57.4%
4.04 corners/matchCorners25/29● 5.34 corners/match
2.27 cards/matchCards11/122.42 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls25/2911.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples25 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTigreRosario Central
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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