PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Sarmiento 1–1 Belgrano · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Sarmiento and Belgrano drew 1–1.

Shots
917
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
1.532.18
Possession
26%74%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sarmiento and Belgrano drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Sarmiento – Belgrano): shots 9–17, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 1.53–2.18, possession 26%–74%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sarmiento's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sarmiento's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.12 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.12 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Belgrano show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Belgrano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsSarmiento · Belgrano12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSarmientoBelgranoBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots17 shotsSarmiento 9 shots, Belgrano 17 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsSarmiento 4 shots, Belgrano 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.53 xG2.18 xGSarmiento 1.53 xG, Belgrano 2.18 xG
  • Possession26%74%Sarmiento 26%, Belgrano 74%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersSarmiento 3 corners, Belgrano 7 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsSarmiento 13 fouls, Belgrano 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards1 cardSarmiento 4 cards, Belgrano 1 card
  • Passes197 passes561 passesSarmiento 197 passes, Belgrano 561 passes
  • Pass accuracy58.4%86.1%Sarmiento 58.4%, Belgrano 86.1%
  • Shots inside box7 shots7 shotsSarmiento 7 shots, Belgrano 7 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks4 blocksSarmiento 2 blocks, Belgrano 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves3 savesSarmiento 6 saves, Belgrano 3 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideSarmiento 3 offsides, Belgrano 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Sarmiento
0Draws
1Belgrano
Belgrano — Sarmiento · Liga Profesional de Fútbol4–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sarmiento favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Belgrano in 9 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sarmiento26 matchesBelgrano31 matches
1.12 goals/matchGoals scored26/311.1 goals/match
1.31 goals/matchGoals allowed26/31▲ 0.71 goals/match
1.37 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/141.19 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots26/31▲ 12.4 shots/match
3.88 shots/matchShots on target26/313.81 shots/match
44.8%Possession26/31● 51%
3.77 corners/match ●Corners26/313.74 corners/match
4.25 cards/matchCards12/122.33 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls26/3111.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples26 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSarmientoBelgrano
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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