PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Boca Juniors 3–1 Central Córdoba · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

3–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Boca Juniors won 3–1.

Shots
915
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
1.741.07
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Boca Juniors beat Central Córdoba 3–1. Recorded in this match (Boca Juniors – Central Córdoba): shots 9–15, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 1.74–1.07, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Central Córdoba's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Central Córdoba's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Boca Juniors show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Boca Juniors's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsBoca Juniors · Central Córdoba10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBoca JuniorsCentral CórdobaBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match15.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Boca Juniors have a visible home split

moderate

Boca Juniors's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots15 shotsBoca Juniors 9 shots, Central Córdoba 15 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotBoca Juniors 6 shots, Central Córdoba 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.74 xG1.07 xGBoca Juniors 1.74 xG, Central Córdoba 1.07 xG
  • Possession55%45%Boca Juniors 55%, Central Córdoba 45%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersBoca Juniors 2 corners, Central Córdoba 6 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls10 foulsBoca Juniors 15 fouls, Central Córdoba 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsBoca Juniors 3 cards, Central Córdoba 2 cards
  • Passes538 passes422 passesBoca Juniors 538 passes, Central Córdoba 422 passes
  • Pass accuracy87.4%84.1%Boca Juniors 87.4%, Central Córdoba 84.1%
  • Shots inside box6 shots7 shotsBoca Juniors 6 shots, Central Córdoba 7 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block4 blocksBoca Juniors 1 block, Central Córdoba 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves2 savesBoca Juniors 0 saves, Central Córdoba 2 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideBoca Juniors 2 offsides, Central Córdoba 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Boca Juniors
0Draws
0Central Córdoba
Central Córdoba — Boca Juniors · Liga Profesional de Fútbol1–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Boca Juniors favored in 13 of 13 directional metrics · Central Córdoba in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Boca Juniors28 matchesCentral Córdoba27 matches
1.32 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/270.67 goals/match
0.82 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/271.37 goals/match
1.6 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/90.98 xG/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots28/2710.1 shots/match
4.43 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/272.7 shots/match
59.4% ●Possession28/2743.7%
5.32 corners/match ●Corners28/274.04 corners/match
1.78 cards/matchCards9/93.56 cards/match
9.96 fouls/matchFouls28/2712.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples28 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBoca JuniorsCentral Córdoba
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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