PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 2–2 Boca Juniors · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza and Boca Juniors drew 2–2.

Shots
1712
Shots on target
76
Expected goals
1.81.78
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza and Boca Juniors drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza – Boca Juniors): shots 17–12, shots on target 7–6, expected goals 1.8–1.78, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.15 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza have a visible home split

strong

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Boca Juniors have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.3%PossessionGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza · Boca Juniors● 59.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGimnasia y Esgrima MendozaBoca JuniorsBaseline
Possession45.3%59.6%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots12 shotsGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 17 shots, Boca Juniors 12 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots6 shotsGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 7 shots, Boca Juniors 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.8 xG1.78 xGGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 1.8 xG, Boca Juniors 1.78 xG
  • Possession59%41%Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 59%, Boca Juniors 41%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 5 corners, Boca Juniors 6 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls8 foulsGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 6 fouls, Boca Juniors 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 1 card, Boca Juniors 4 cards
  • Passes450 passes319 passesGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 450 passes, Boca Juniors 319 passes
  • Pass accuracy81.1%72.7%Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 81.1%, Boca Juniors 72.7%
  • Shots inside box11 shots9 shotsGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 11 shots, Boca Juniors 9 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks3 blocksGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 2 blocks, Boca Juniors 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves5 savesGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 4 saves, Boca Juniors 5 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 1 offside, Boca Juniors 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
1Draws
0Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors — Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza · Liga Profesional de Fútbol1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Boca Juniors in 12 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza26 matchesBoca Juniors27 matches
1.15 goals/matchGoals scored26/27▲ 1.26 goals/match
1.27 goals/matchGoals allowed26/27▲ 0.81 goals/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goals8/9▲ 1.58 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots26/27▲ 13.7 shots/match
4.19 shots/matchShots on target26/274.37 shots/match
45.3%Possession26/27● 59.6%
3.73 corners/matchCorners26/27● 5.44 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards9/91.78 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls26/279.78 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples26 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGimnasia y Esgrima MendozaBoca Juniors
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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