PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Gimnasia y Esgrima 2–1 Tigre · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

2–1Full-time analysis

Tigre

DWDWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Gimnasia y Esgrima won 2–1.

Shots
1412
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
2.771.22
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Gimnasia y Esgrima beat Tigre 2–1. Recorded in this match (Gimnasia y Esgrima – Tigre): shots 14–12, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 2.77–1.22, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Gimnasia y Esgrima's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gimnasia y Esgrima's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.19 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Gimnasia y Esgrima have a visible home split

moderate

Gimnasia y Esgrima's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Tigre show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Tigre's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsGimnasia y Esgrima · Tigre13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGimnasia y EsgrimaTigreBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots12 shotsGimnasia y Esgrima 14 shots, Tigre 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsGimnasia y Esgrima 6 shots, Tigre 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.77 xG1.22 xGGimnasia y Esgrima 2.77 xG, Tigre 1.22 xG
  • Possession47%53%Gimnasia y Esgrima 47%, Tigre 53%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerGimnasia y Esgrima 5 corners, Tigre 1 corner
  • Fouls15 fouls14 foulsGimnasia y Esgrima 15 fouls, Tigre 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards4 cardsGimnasia y Esgrima 3 cards, Tigre 4 cards
  • Passes327 passes371 passesGimnasia y Esgrima 327 passes, Tigre 371 passes
  • Pass accuracy76.2%78.2%Gimnasia y Esgrima 76.2%, Tigre 78.2%
  • Shots inside box12 shots7 shotsGimnasia y Esgrima 12 shots, Tigre 7 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks2 blocksGimnasia y Esgrima 4 blocks, Tigre 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves4 savesGimnasia y Esgrima 2 saves, Tigre 4 saves
  • Offsides6 offsides1 offsideGimnasia y Esgrima 6 offsides, Tigre 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Gimnasia y Esgrima
1Draws
0Tigre
Tigre — Gimnasia y Esgrima · Liga Profesional de Fútbol2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Gimnasia y Esgrima favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Tigre in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Gimnasia y Esgrima27 matchesTigre24 matches
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/241.04 goals/match
1.22 goals/matchGoals allowed27/24▲ 0.83 goals/match
1.33 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/81.18 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots27/24▲ 13.4 shots/match
3.81 shots/matchShots on target27/243.92 shots/match
44.4%Possession27/24● 46.9%
3.85 corners/matchCorners27/24● 4.04 corners/match
3.2 cards/matchCards10/102.1 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls27/2411.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples27 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGimnasia y EsgrimaTigre
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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