Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe 4–1 Sarmiento · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

4–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe won 4–1.

Shots
1211
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
1.280.49
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Union Santa Fe beat Sarmiento Junin 4–1. Recorded in this match (Union Santa Fe – Sarmiento Junin): shots 12–11, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 1.28–0.49, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sarmiento Junin's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sarmiento Junin's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.06 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Union Santa Fe show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Union Santa Fe's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsUnion Santa Fe · Sarmiento Junin10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUnion Santa FeSarmiento JuninBaseline
Shots16 shots/match10.6 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against11.1 shots/match14.8 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Union Santa Fe have a visible home split

strong

Union Santa Fe's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

20.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots20.2 shots/match16 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots11 shotsClub Atlético Unión de Santa Fe 12 shots, Sarmiento 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsClub Atlético Unión de Santa Fe 5 shots, Sarmiento 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.28 xG0.49 xGClub Atlético Unión de Santa Fe 1.28 xG, Sarmiento 0.49 xG
  • Possession49%51%Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe 49%, Sarmiento 51%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersClub Atlético Unión de Santa Fe 2 corners, Sarmiento 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsClub Atlético Unión de Santa Fe 11 fouls, Sarmiento 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe
0Draws
0Sarmiento
Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe — Sarmiento · Liga Profesional de Fútbol4–1
Sarmiento — Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe · Liga Profesional de Fútbol1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Sarmiento in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe27 matchesSarmiento24 matches
1.48 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/241.08 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed27/241.38 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals9/7▲ 1.34 xG/match
16 shots/match ▲Shots27/2410.6 shots/match
5.04 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/243.88 shots/match
49.3% ●Possession27/2446%
4.93 corners/match ●Corners27/243.92 corners/match
2.18 cards/matchCards11/124.25 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls27/2413.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples27 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 31 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

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