PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Deportivo Riestra 1–1 Vélez Sarsfield · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Deportivo Riestra and Vélez Sarsfield drew 1–1.

Shots
713
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.630.55
Possession
24%76%

Full time

What the match recorded

Deportivo Riestra and Velez Sarsfield drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Deportivo Riestra – Velez Sarsfield): shots 7–13, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.63–0.55, possession 24%–76%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Deportivo Riestra's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Riestra's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.48 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.48 goals/match1.06 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Velez Sarsfield have recorded the higher season possession share.

35.4%PossessionDeportivo Riestra · Velez Sarsfield● 53.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricDeportivo RiestraVelez SarsfieldBaseline
Possession35.4%53.9%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots13 shotsDeportivo Riestra 7 shots, Vélez Sarsfield 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsDeportivo Riestra 3 shots, Vélez Sarsfield 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.63 xG0.55 xGDeportivo Riestra 0.63 xG, Vélez Sarsfield 0.55 xG
  • Possession24%76%Deportivo Riestra 24%, Vélez Sarsfield 76%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersDeportivo Riestra 2 corners, Vélez Sarsfield 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls9 foulsDeportivo Riestra 14 fouls, Vélez Sarsfield 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Deportivo Riestra
2Draws
0Vélez Sarsfield
Deportivo Riestra — Vélez Sarsfield · Liga Profesional de Fútbol1–1
Vélez Sarsfield — Deportivo Riestra · Liga Profesional de Fútbol0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Riestra favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Vélez Sarsfield in 8

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Riestra25 matchesVélez Sarsfield26 matches
0.48 goals/matchGoals scored25/26▲ 1.19 goals/match
0.84 goals/matchGoals allowed25/26▲ 0.77 goals/match
1.11 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/80.93 xG/match
9.96 shots/matchShots25/26▲ 11.6 shots/match
3.24 shots/matchShots on target25/26▲ 4.04 shots/match
35.4%Possession25/26● 53.9%
4.08 corners/matchCorners25/26● 4.42 corners/match
4.22 cards/matchCards9/102.6 cards/match
16.9 fouls/matchFouls25/2611.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples25 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 31 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportivo RiestraVélez Sarsfield
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
Head-to-headDeportivo Riestra — Vélez Sarsfield
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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