PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Lanús 1–3 CA Independiente · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Lanús

DDLLW
1–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

CA Independiente won 1–3.

Shots
2114
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.921.16
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Independiente beat Lanus 3–1. Recorded in this match (Lanus – Independiente): shots 21–14, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.92–1.16, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lanus's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lanus's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match12 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots14 shotsLanús 21 shots, CA Independiente 14 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsLanús 6 shots, CA Independiente 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.92 xG1.16 xGLanús 1.92 xG, CA Independiente 1.16 xG
  • Possession52%48%Lanús 52%, CA Independiente 48%
  • Corners10 corners5 cornersLanús 10 corners, CA Independiente 5 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls11 foulsLanús 18 fouls, CA Independiente 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lanús
0Draws
1CA Independiente
CA Independiente — Lanús · Liga Profesional de Fútbol2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lanús favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · CA Independiente in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lanús22 matchesCA Independiente23 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored22/23▲ 1.43 goals/match
1.05 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/231.22 goals/match
1.46 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/50.88 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots22/23▲ 12.8 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target22/233.91 shots/match
52% ●Possession22/2350.9%
3.82 corners/matchCorners22/23● 5.7 corners/match
2.57 cards/matchCards7/103 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls22/2311.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples22 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 18 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLanúsCA Independiente
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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