PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Vélez Sarsfield 1–1 Defensa y Justicia · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Vélez Sarsfield and Defensa y Justicia drew 1–1.

Shots
1020
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
0.851.29
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vélez Sarsfield and Defensa y Justicia drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Vélez Sarsfield – Defensa y Justicia): shots 10–20, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.85–1.29, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Defensa y Justicia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Defensa y Justicia's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1 goal/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots20 shotsVélez Sarsfield 10 shots, Defensa y Justicia 20 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsVélez Sarsfield 3 shots, Defensa y Justicia 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.85 xG1.29 xGVélez Sarsfield 0.85 xG, Defensa y Justicia 1.29 xG
  • Possession54%46%Vélez Sarsfield 54%, Defensa y Justicia 46%
  • Corners6 corners9 cornersVélez Sarsfield 6 corners, Defensa y Justicia 9 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls19 foulsVélez Sarsfield 15 fouls, Defensa y Justicia 19 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Vélez Sarsfield
1Draws
0Defensa y Justicia
Defensa y Justicia — Vélez Sarsfield · Liga Profesional de Fútbol1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vélez Sarsfield favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Defensa y Justicia in 4 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vélez Sarsfield23 matchesDefensa y Justicia21 matches
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/211 goal/match
0.7 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/211.33 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals5/3▲ 1.38 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots23/2111.6 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target23/21▲ 4.24 shots/match
54% ●Possession23/2152.3%
4.35 corners/matchCorners23/21● 4.57 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards10/112 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls23/219.43 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples23 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 18 Aug 2026, 02:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVélez SarsfieldDefensa y Justicia
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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