PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Remo 2–2 Atlético Mineiro · Serie A

Remo

DWLWL
2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Remo and Atlético Mineiro drew 2–2.

Shots
1210
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
0.671.07
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Remo and Atlético Mineiro drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Remo – Atlético Mineiro): shots 12–10, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 0.67–1.07, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Remo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Remo's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.6 shots/match11.7 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots10 shotsRemo 12 shots, Atlético Mineiro 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsRemo 4 shots, Atlético Mineiro 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.67 xG1.07 xGRemo 0.67 xG, Atlético Mineiro 1.07 xG
  • Possession41%59%Remo 41%, Atlético Mineiro 59%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersRemo 5 corners, Atlético Mineiro 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls13 foulsRemo 13 fouls, Atlético Mineiro 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsRemo 2 cards, Atlético Mineiro 2 cards
  • Passes388 passes562 passesRemo 388 passes, Atlético Mineiro 562 passes
  • Pass accuracy85.1%87.9%Remo 85.1%, Atlético Mineiro 87.9%
  • Shots inside box8 shots8 shotsRemo 8 shots, Atlético Mineiro 8 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks4 blocksRemo 4 blocks, Atlético Mineiro 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves2 savesRemo 0 saves, Atlético Mineiro 2 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideRemo 2 offsides, Atlético Mineiro 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alan Minda · Atlético Mineiro · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Taliari · Remo · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRuan · Atlético Mineiro · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMamady Cissé · Atlético Mineiro · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTomás Cuello · Atlético Mineiro · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatrick · Remo · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaycon · Atlético Mineiro · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedZé Ricardo · Remo · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedZé Ricardo · Remo · 23′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlef Manga · Remo · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKauã Pascini · Atlético Mineiro · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJajá · Remo · 44′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarllon · Remo · 56′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedReinier · Atlético Mineiro · 34′ · 0.06 xG · goalJajá · Remo · 49′ · 0.06 xG · on targetGabriel Taliari · Remo · 74′ · 0.06 xG · goalBernard · Atlético Mineiro · 7′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMarllon · Remo · 41′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJajá · Remo · 3′ · 0.10 xG · goalGabriel Taliari · Remo · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMateo Cassierra · Atlético Mineiro · 76′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedBernard · Atlético Mineiro · 38′ · 0.64 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Remo: 12 shots, 4 on target, 0.69 xG. Atlético Mineiro: 10 shots, 2 on target, 1.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jajá · Remo · 3′Gabriel Taliari · Remo · 74′Reinier · Atlético Mineiro · 34′Bernard · Atlético Mineiro · 38′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Remo 0.69 xG · Atlético Mineiro 1.10 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Remo
1Draws
0Atlético Mineiro
Atlético Mineiro — Remo · Serie A3–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Remo favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Atlético Mineiro in 10 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Remo20 matchesAtlético Mineiro20 matches
1.15 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 1.3 goals/match
0.85 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 1.26 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots20/20▲ 13.5 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲ 4.3 shots/match
42.6%Possession20/20● 48.9%
4.5 corners/matchCorners20/20● 4.8 corners/match
3.25 cards/matchCards4/42 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls20/2011.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Aug 2026, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRemoAtlético Mineiro
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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