PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Internacional 1–2 Cruzeiro · Serie A

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Cruzeiro won 1–2.

Shots
2113
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
2.141.67
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cruzeiro beat Internacional 2–1. Recorded in this match (Internacional – Cruzeiro): shots 21–13, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 2.14–1.67, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Internacional's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Internacional's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.16 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.16 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots13 shotsInternacional 21 shots, Cruzeiro 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsInternacional 3 shots, Cruzeiro 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.14 xG1.67 xGInternacional 2.14 xG, Cruzeiro 1.67 xG
  • Possession47%53%Internacional 47%, Cruzeiro 53%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersInternacional 5 corners, Cruzeiro 7 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls14 foulsInternacional 18 fouls, Cruzeiro 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Internacional
1Draws
1Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro — Internacional · Serie A2–1
Internacional — Cruzeiro · Serie A3–0
Cruzeiro — Internacional · Serie A0–0
Internacional — Cruzeiro · Serie A1–0
Cruzeiro — Internacional · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Internacional favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Cruzeiro in 2 · 7 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Internacional19 matchesCruzeiro19 matches
1.16 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 1.37 goals/match
1.26 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.53 goals/match
1.57 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/151.43 xG/match
15.5 shots/match ▲Shots19/1914.1 shots/match
4.79 shots/matchShots on target19/194.79 shots/match
50.6%Possession19/19● 55.9%
7.05 corners/match ●Corners19/195.42 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards4/42.75 cards/match
16.2 fouls/matchFouls19/1914.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 23 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInternacionalCruzeiro
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headInternacional — Cruzeiro
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required