PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Internacional 1–1 São Paulo · Serie A

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Internacional and São Paulo drew 1–1.

Shots
615
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.020.86
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Internacional and Sao Paulo drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Internacional – Sao Paulo): shots 6–15, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.02–0.86, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sao Paulo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sao Paulo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.22 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.22 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

8.89 corners/match ●CornersInternacional · Sao Paulo5.89 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricInternacionalSao PauloBaseline
Corners8.89 corners/match5.89 corners/match5.07 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots15 shotsInternacional 6 shots, São Paulo 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsInternacional 4 shots, São Paulo 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.02 xG0.86 xGInternacional 1.02 xG, São Paulo 0.86 xG
  • Possession34%66%Internacional 34%, São Paulo 66%
  • Corners2 corners11 cornersInternacional 2 corners, São Paulo 11 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls15 foulsInternacional 18 fouls, São Paulo 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Internacional
1Draws
2São Paulo
São Paulo — Internacional · Serie A3–0
Internacional — São Paulo · Serie A1–2
São Paulo — Internacional · Serie A1–3
Internacional — São Paulo · Serie A0–0
Internacional — São Paulo · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Internacional favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · São Paulo in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Internacional9 matchesSão Paulo9 matches
0.89 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 1.22 goals/match
1.11 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 0.67 goals/match
1.93 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/50.75 xG/match
15.8 shots/match ▲Shots9/910.9 shots/match
5.11 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/93.56 shots/match
51.7%Possession9/9● 57.7%
8.89 corners/match ●Corners9/95.89 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards4/41.5 cards/match
16 fouls/matchFouls9/915.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 2 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInternacionalSão Paulo
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headInternacional — São Paulo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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