Serie A · 2026

Coritiba 1–0 Remo · Serie A

1–0Full-time analysis

Remo

LDDDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Coritiba won 1–0.

Shots
814
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
0.920.53
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Coritiba beat remo 1–0. Recorded in this match (Coritiba – remo): shots 8–14, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 0.92–0.53, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Coritiba, remo.

3.88 days ▲Rest daysCoritiba · remo2.98 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCoritibaremoBaseline
Rest days3.88 days2.98 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

remo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

remo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsCoritiba · remo14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCoritibaremoBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match14.2 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against17 shots/match14.5 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Coritiba's recent record differs from the season

weak

Coritiba's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.37 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots14 shotsCoritiba 8 shots, Remo 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotCoritiba 4 shots, Remo 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.92 xG0.53 xGCoritiba 0.92 xG, Remo 0.53 xG
  • Possession42%58%Coritiba 42%, Remo 58%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersCoritiba 4 corners, Remo 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsCoritiba 13 fouls, Remo 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Coritiba
1Draws
1Remo
Coritiba — Remo · Serie B0–0
Remo — Coritiba · Serie B1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Coritiba favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Remo in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Coritiba6 matchesRemo6 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61 goal/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.83 goals/match
10.2 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 14.2 shots/match
2.83 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 4.17 shots/match
36.8%Possession6/6● 44.7%
3.5 corners/matchCorners6/6● 5 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards4/43.25 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls6/614 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 16 Mar 2026, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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