PitchMath
Serie A · 2026Estadio Do MorumBIS

São Paulo 2–0 Grêmio · Serie A

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

São Paulo won 2–0.

Shots
185
Shots on target
41
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sao Paulo beat Gremio 2–0. Recorded in this match (Sao Paulo – Gremio): shots 18–5, shots on target 4–1, possession 58%–42%, corners 3–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Gremio show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Gremio's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsSao Paulo · Gremio10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSao PauloGremioBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match10.3 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots5 shotsSão Paulo 18 shots, Grêmio 5 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotSão Paulo 4 shots, Grêmio 1 shot
  • Possession58%42%São Paulo 58%, Grêmio 42%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersSão Paulo 3 corners, Grêmio 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls16 foulsSão Paulo 11 fouls, Grêmio 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsSão Paulo 2 cards, Grêmio 4 cards
  • Passes516 passes381 passesSão Paulo 516 passes, Grêmio 381 passes
  • Pass accuracy90%83%São Paulo 90%, Grêmio 83%
  • Shots inside box12 shots4 shotsSão Paulo 12 shots, Grêmio 4 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks0 blocksSão Paulo 2 blocks, Grêmio 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save2 savesSão Paulo 1 save, Grêmio 2 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesSão Paulo 2 offsides, Grêmio 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3São Paulo
0Draws
2Grêmio
Grêmio — São Paulo · Serie A2–0
São Paulo — Grêmio · Serie A2–1
Grêmio — São Paulo · Serie A2–1
São Paulo — Grêmio · Serie A1–0
São Paulo — Grêmio · Serie A3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Paulo favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Grêmio in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Paulo3 matchesGrêmio3 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 2 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/32.33 goals/match
12.3 shots/match ▲Shots3/310.3 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 4 shots/match
49.3% ●Possession3/344.7%
3 corners/matchCorners3/3● 4.33 corners/match
1 card/matchCards3/32 cards/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls3/314 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 12 Feb 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsSão PauloGrêmio
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headSão Paulo — Grêmio
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required