PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Estadio Eva Perón

Sarmiento 1–0 Tigre · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–0Full-time analysis

Tigre

DLLDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Sarmiento won 1–0.

Shots
1015
Shots on target
42
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sarmiento Junin beat Tigre 1–0. Recorded in this match (Sarmiento Junin – Tigre): shots 10–15, shots on target 4–2, possession 47%–53%, corners 3–6. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Tigre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tigre's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Tigre show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Tigre's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsSarmiento Junin · Tigre13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSarmiento JuninTigreBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against15.1 shots/match10.1 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Sarmiento Junin have a visible home split

moderate

Sarmiento Junin's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match10.3 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots15 shotsSarmiento 10 shots, Tigre 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsSarmiento 4 shots, Tigre 2 shots
  • Possession47%53%Sarmiento 47%, Tigre 53%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersSarmiento 3 corners, Tigre 6 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls15 foulsSarmiento 11 fouls, Tigre 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards4 cardsSarmiento 3 cards, Tigre 4 cards
  • Passes339 passes374 passesSarmiento 339 passes, Tigre 374 passes
  • Pass accuracy67%70%Sarmiento 67%, Tigre 70%
  • Shots inside box6 shots5 shotsSarmiento 6 shots, Tigre 5 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block3 blocksSarmiento 1 block, Tigre 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesSarmiento 2 saves, Tigre 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesSarmiento 2 offsides, Tigre 0 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sarmiento favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Tigre in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sarmiento16 matchesTigre15 matches
0.81 goals/matchGoals scored16/15▲ 1.13 goals/match
1.06 goals/matchGoals allowed16/15▲ 0.93 goals/match
10.3 shots/matchShots16/15▲ 13.8 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on target16/15▲ 4.4 shots/match
48% ●Possession16/1546.3%
3.63 corners/matchCorners16/15● 3.87 corners/match
4.25 cards/matchCards12/92 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls16/1512.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples16 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 02:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsSarmientoTigre
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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