PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Antonio Candini

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 1–2 Rosario Central · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Rosario Central won 1–2.

Shots
1412
Shots on target
24
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rosario Central beat Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 2–1. Recorded in this match (Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto – Rosario Central): shots 14–12, shots on target 2–4, possession 43%–57%, corners 0–4. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rosario Central have a visible away split

moderate

Rosario Central's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.88 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.88 shots/match13.3 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto's recent record differs from the season

weak

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.33 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Rosario Central have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.5%PossessionEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto · Rosario Central● 57.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricEstudiantes de Rio CuartoRosario CentralBaseline
Possession48.5%57.9%50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots12 shotsEstudiantes de Río Cuarto 14 shots, Rosario Central 12 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsEstudiantes de Río Cuarto 2 shots, Rosario Central 4 shots
  • Possession43%57%Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 43%, Rosario Central 57%
  • Corners0 corners4 cornersEstudiantes de Río Cuarto 0 corners, Rosario Central 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls11 foulsEstudiantes de Río Cuarto 12 fouls, Rosario Central 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsEstudiantes de Río Cuarto 1 card, Rosario Central 4 cards
  • Passes306 passes430 passesEstudiantes de Río Cuarto 306 passes, Rosario Central 430 passes
  • Pass accuracy74%80%Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 74%, Rosario Central 80%
  • Shots inside box9 shots11 shotsEstudiantes de Río Cuarto 9 shots, Rosario Central 11 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks0 blocksEstudiantes de Río Cuarto 2 blocks, Rosario Central 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves1 saveEstudiantes de Río Cuarto 2 saves, Rosario Central 1 save
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideEstudiantes de Río Cuarto 2 offsides, Rosario Central 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Rosario Central in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto15 matchesRosario Central16 matches
0.33 goals/matchGoals scored15/16▲ 1.19 goals/match
1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed15/16▲ 1 goal/match
11.2 shots/matchShots15/16▲ 13.3 shots/match
2.33 shots/matchShots on target15/16▲ 4.63 shots/match
48.5%Possession15/16● 57.9%
4.53 corners/matchCorners15/16● 5.25 corners/match
2.56 cards/matchCards9/92.56 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls15/1610.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples15 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 02:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsEstudiantes de Río CuartoRosario Central
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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